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广发机械“回归”系列:迈为股份:在HJT道路上狂奔,泛半导体平台渐成形
300751Maxwell(300751) 广发证券·2024-10-14 10:33

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of 111.74 CNY per share, indicating a potential upside from the current price of 97.00 CNY [1]. Core Insights - The company's stock price is highly correlated with the photovoltaic industry index, reflecting its position as a leader in screen printing and a representative of new photovoltaic technologies [3]. - The company is focused on the HJT (Heterojunction Technology) sector, aiming to drive technological advancements and cost reductions through its "three reductions and one increase" strategy: reducing silver, reducing grid, reducing consumption, and increasing lifespan [3]. - The company is expanding into the semiconductor equipment field, marking a second growth curve, with successful product introductions to major domestic packaging manufacturers [3]. - Earnings forecasts suggest significant growth, with expected EPS of 4.47 CNY in 2024, 6.04 CNY in 2025, and 7.72 CNY in 2026, supported by ongoing advancements in HJT technology and a growing semiconductor equipment business [3]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has established itself in the solar cell production equipment sector, focusing on HJT technology and expanding into semiconductor equipment [101][71]. Financial Performance - The company reported revenues of 4,148 million CNY in 2022, with a projected increase to 12,369 million CNY by 2024, reflecting a growth rate of 52.9% [102]. - The gross margin is expected to stabilize around 30.5% to 31.2% from 2024 to 2026, indicating a healthy profitability outlook [102]. Market Position - The company is positioned as a leader in the HJT equipment market, with a significant market share and a strong focus on R&D to maintain its competitive edge [3][71]. - The HJT technology is anticipated to reach a tipping point for mass production by 2025, with the company poised to benefit from this growth [68]. Industry Trends - The photovoltaic industry is transitioning from policy-driven growth to cost-effectiveness and technological advancement, with HJT technology expected to play a crucial role in this evolution [12]. - The semiconductor equipment market is also expanding, driven by domestic demand and the need for advanced packaging solutions, providing additional growth opportunities for the company [71][76].