Investment Rating - The investment rating for Dongyue Group is "Outperform the Market" [1] Core Views - Dongyue Group is a leading enterprise in the fluorosilicone industry, primarily engaged in fluorosilicone chemical business across five segments, including high polymer materials, refrigerants, organic silicon, dichloromethane, PVC, and caustic soda [5][6] - The company experienced a decline in net profit in 2024H1, amounting to 233 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6.70%. The revenue for 2021-2024H1 was 15.847 billion yuan, 20.036 billion yuan, 14.554 billion yuan, and 7.285 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year changes of +57.48%, +26.43%, -27.36%, and +1.07% respectively [5] - The company benefits from rising refrigerant prices, with R22's market average price increasing by 56.41% since January 29, 2024, and R32's price rising by 126.87% year-on-year [5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company reported a net profit of 708 million yuan in 2023, with projections of 907 million yuan, 1.476 billion yuan, and 2.012 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, indicating a significant recovery in profitability [7][11] - Revenue for 2023 is projected at 14.493 billion yuan, with expected growth to 15.940 billion yuan in 2024, 17.979 billion yuan in 2025, and 20.378 billion yuan in 2026, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10.0%, 12.8%, and 13.3% [7][11] Market Position and Innovation - The company introduced 101 new product grades in 2023, enhancing its competitive edge and market position. It holds a total of 620 authorized patents and has published 127 various standards [6] - Research and development expenditures were approximately 935 million yuan in 2023, accounting for 6.45% of total revenue [6] Earnings Forecast - The forecasted net profits for 2024-2026 are 907 million yuan, 1.476 billion yuan, and 2.012 billion yuan, with corresponding EPS of 0.52 yuan, 0.85 yuan, and 1.16 yuan [6][11] - The estimated PE ratio for 2024 is between 16-18 times, leading to a reasonable value range of 8.32-9.36 yuan, which translates to 9.04-10.17 HKD based on the exchange rate [6]
东岳集团：公司研究报告：氟硅行业龙头，受益于制冷剂价格上涨