ORIENT CABLE (NBO)(603606) 财信证券·2024-10-25 10:00Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Dongfang Cable (603606.SH) [1][6] Core Views - The company has shown significant revenue growth in the first three quarters of 2024, achieving a revenue of 6.699 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.22% [4] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for the same period was 932 million yuan, up 13.41% year-on-year [4] - The company’s order backlog has slightly increased, reaching approximately 9.236 billion yuan as of October 18, 2024, with notable growth in land cable orders [4] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue Forecasts: - 2022A: 7.009 billion yuan - 2023A: 7.310 billion yuan - 2024E: 8.500 billion yuan - 2025E: 11.500 billion yuan - 2026E: 13.500 billion yuan [7] - Net Profit Forecasts: - 2022A: 842 million yuan - 2023A: 1.000 billion yuan - 2024E: 1.194 billion yuan - 2025E: 1.958 billion yuan - 2026E: 2.299 billion yuan [7] - Earnings Per Share (EPS): - 2022A: 1.22 yuan - 2023A: 1.45 yuan - 2024E: 1.74 yuan - 2025E: 2.85 yuan - 2026E: 3.34 yuan [7] - Profitability Ratios: - Gross Margin: 22.16% in Q3 2024, down 4.06 percentage points year-on-year - Net Margin: 13.91% in Q3 2024, down 1.45 percentage points year-on-year [4] Product Performance Summary - Land Cable Revenue: - 2024 YTD: 3.688 billion yuan, up 35% year-on-year - Q3 2024: 1.394 billion yuan, up 53% year-on-year [4] - Submarine Cable and Marine Engineering Revenue: - 2024 YTD: 3.001 billion yuan, up 14.6% year-on-year - Q3 2024: 1.230 billion yuan, up 64% year-on-year, driven by accelerated offshore wind projects [4] Valuation and Price Target - The target price range for the stock is set between 57 and 71.25 yuan, based on a projected P/E ratio of 20-25 times for 2025 [5][6]