DING LONG(300054) 海通证券·2024-10-28 03:14Investment Rating - The investment rating for Dinglong Co., Ltd. is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [2][8]. Core Views - Dinglong Co., Ltd. has achieved record high operating profits in Q3 2024, with significant growth in its semiconductor business [3][4]. - The company's revenue for Q3 2024 reached 907 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27.17% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.85% [3]. - The semiconductor business has become a key driver of revenue and profit growth, with its revenue share increasing from 32% in 2023 to 45% in the first three quarters of 2024 [3][6]. Financial Performance Summary - In Q3 2024, the net profit attributable to the parent company was 158 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 97.15% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 16.30% [3]. - The cumulative revenue for the first three quarters of 2024 was 2.426 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 29.54% [3]. - The company expects revenues for 2024E-2026E to be 3.418 billion yuan, 4.274 billion yuan, and 5.133 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 28.2%, 25.1%, and 20.1% [5][7]. Business Segment Analysis - The semiconductor materials and chip business is projected to generate revenues of 1.562 billion yuan, 2.359 billion yuan, and 3.159 billion yuan for 2024E-2026E, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 82.36%, 50.98%, and 33.93% [6][7]. - The CMP polishing pad business achieved a record monthly sales volume of over 30,000 pieces in September 2024, with Q3 2024 sales revenue of 225 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 90% [3][6]. - The semiconductor display materials business reported sales revenue of 115 million yuan in Q3 2024, a year-on-year increase of 110% [4]. Valuation and Market Outlook - The estimated price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for Dinglong Co., Ltd. is projected to be between 55x and 60x for 2024E, corresponding to a reasonable market capitalization range of 28.474 billion yuan to 31.062 billion yuan [4][8]. - The reasonable value per share is estimated to be between 30.35 yuan and 33.11 yuan [8].