XINJI ENERGY(601918) Guohai Securities·2024-10-28 17:01Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][7]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant increase in power generation in Q3 2024, leading to overall performance improvements both year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter [3][4]. - The company's revenue for the first three quarters of 2024 was 9.19 billion yuan, a decrease of 5.2% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.82 billion yuan, also down by 5.0% year-on-year [3]. - The report highlights the company's coal business, which saw an increase in gross profit per ton due to higher coal prices, despite a decline in production and sales volume [4][7]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 3.20 billion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 9.5% but a year-on-year decrease of 6.6%. Net profit for the same period was 650 million yuan, up 12.2% quarter-on-quarter and up 5.9% year-on-year [3][4]. - The average return on equity (ROE) was 12.76%, down by 2.70 percentage points year-on-year [3]. Coal Business - The company produced 13.88 million tons of coal in the first three quarters of 2024, a decrease of 6.7% year-on-year, with sales volume down by 9.5% [4]. - The average selling price of coal was 562 yuan per ton, an increase of 3.1% year-on-year, leading to a gross profit of 221 yuan per ton, up 4.8% year-on-year [4]. Power Generation - Total power generation for the first three quarters was 8.60 billion kWh, an increase of 16.1% year-on-year, with a significant quarter-on-quarter increase of 85.9% in Q3 [4]. - The average on-grid electricity price was 0.40 yuan per kWh, down 3.9% quarter-on-quarter, but the revenue from the power business reached 1.50 billion yuan, up 78.9% quarter-on-quarter and 16.3% year-on-year [4]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to see revenue growth of 5%, 9%, and 16% for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with net profit growth of 12%, 7%, and 21% for the same years [7][8]. - The report emphasizes the company's strong position in the coal market and the expected stabilization of coal quality, which will enhance performance stability [7].