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新易盛:2024年三季报业绩点评:经营业绩快速增长,高速率产品出货量提升

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating a strong outlook based on its market position and growth potential [5]. Core Views - The company has experienced rapid growth in its operating performance, with a significant increase in the shipment of high-speed optical modules. For the first three quarters of 2024, the company reported revenue of 5.103 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 145.82%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.646 billion yuan, up 283.2% [1][2]. - The gross margin improved to 42.34%, an increase of 11.35 percentage points, while the net profit margin reached 32.08%, up 9.86 percentage points. In Q3 2024 alone, revenue was 2.403 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 207.12% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 48.79% [1][2]. - The company's revenue quality has improved significantly due to the increased proportion of high-speed optical module products, supported by strong R&D capabilities and breakthroughs in various optical module technologies [1][2]. Financial Performance Summary - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 7.337 billion yuan, 15.135 billion yuan, and 20.563 billion yuan for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with growth rates of 136.87%, 106.28%, and 35.86% [2][4]. - The estimated earnings per share (EPS) for the same years are 3.50 yuan, 6.45 yuan, and 8.55 yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 37.32, 20.23, and 15.25 [2][4]. - The company has maintained strong cost control, with sales expenses remaining stable and a decrease in management and R&D expense ratios, which has helped maintain a high level of net profit [2]. Industry Outlook - The report highlights a positive industry trend, driven by the rapid growth in shipments of new AI chips from companies like NVIDIA, indicating a robust capital expenditure environment among overseas cloud vendors [2]. - The optical module market is expected to see significant growth, with predictions of a doubling in demand for AI-related optical modules in 2024, continuing into 2025-2026 [2]. - As a leading player in the optical module sector, the company is well-positioned to benefit from the increasing investments in AI by cloud computing firms, with expectations of maintaining and growing its market share [2].