Nexchip Semiconductor Corporation(688249) 德邦证券·2024-11-07 12:33Investment Rating - Buy (First Coverage) [2] Core Views - The company is a global leader in DDIC (Display Driver IC) wafer foundry, ranking among the top nine globally and third in mainland China. It has a strong position in the LCD panel foundry market and has capabilities in CIS (CMOS Image Sensor), PMIC (Power Management IC), MCU (Microcontroller Unit), and Logic chip foundry [2][16] - The company's revenue in H1 2024 reached 4.398 billion yuan, a YoY increase of 48.09%, with a net profit of 187 million yuan, turning from a loss to a profit. CIS has become the company's second-largest product line, accounting for 16.04% of revenue in H1 2024 [2][16] - The company is expected to benefit from the shift of the LCD industry to mainland China, with the local DDIC industry chain accelerating its development. The company has a dual advantage of being a "scarce foundry target" and being close to the "Chip-Screen-Auto-AI" industrial cluster in Hefei [3][16] - The company is actively expanding its OLED foundry capabilities, with 40nm high-voltage OLED DDIC achieving small-scale production in H1 2024, and 28nm OLED DDIC R&D progressing steadily [4][16] - The company's capacity has been fully utilized since March 2024, with a production line load of around 110% in June 2024. The company plans to expand its capacity by 30,000 to 50,000 wafers per month, focusing on 55nm and 40nm products [5][16] Industry Analysis DDIC Industry - DDIC is a key component of display panels, with applications in LCD and OLED panels. In 2022, large-size DDIC accounted for 69% of the market, while small and medium-size DDIC accounted for 31%, with smartphones making up about 18% of the small and medium-size DDIC market [3][37] - The LCD industry is shifting to mainland China, with Statista predicting that by 2025, mainland China will account for 69% of global LCD panel production capacity. Local DDIC design companies have made breakthroughs in large-size DDIC, with a global market share of 18.9% in Q2 2023 [3][37] - OLED DDIC is expected to become a major growth driver, with global OLED smartphone penetration reaching 51% in 2023. In Q1 2024, Chinese panel manufacturers surpassed South Korea in OLED shipments, accounting for 49.7% of the global market [4][37] CIS Industry - CIS is a core component of camera modules, with applications in smartphones, automotive electronics, and more. The company has a deep collaboration with local CIS manufacturer SmartSens, and in August 2024, they jointly launched a 180-megapixel full-frame CIS chip, pushing the development of full-frame CIS to a new stage [5][16] - In H1 2024, the company achieved mass production of 55nm BSI CIS, with product pixels reaching 50MP. The company plans to expand its CIS production capacity by 30,000 to 50,000 wafers per month, focusing on high-end CIS products [5][16] Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 9.476 billion yuan, 12.822 billion yuan, and 15.327 billion yuan in 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with net profits of 643 million yuan, 1.321 billion yuan, and 1.719 billion yuan [6][7] - The company's gross margin is expected to improve as more advanced process nodes are released, with a gross margin of 24.43% in H1 2024, up from 21.61% in 2023 [26][27]