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法拉利:2024Q3业绩点评:大中华地区出货量同比下滑,维持此前2024年指引

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating for Ferrari (RACE) as a first coverage [1][5]. Core Views - Ferrari's revenue for Q3 2024 reached €1.64 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 7%. The adjusted EBITDA was €640 million, also up 7%, with an EBITDA margin of 38.8%, slightly improved by 0.2 percentage points from the previous year. The adjusted net profit was €375 million, marking a 13% increase, with a net profit margin of 22.8%, up by 1.3 percentage points year-on-year [1][2]. - The company maintains its full-year guidance for 2024, expecting total revenue to exceed €6.55 billion, with adjusted EBIT of at least €1.82 billion and an adjusted EPS of at least €7.90 [2][5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q3 2024 total revenue was €1.64 billion, with automotive and parts revenue at €1.40 billion, up 5% year-on-year. Sponsorship and commercial revenue increased by 20% to €170 million, driven by new sponsorship deals [2]. - The gross margin for Q3 was 49.7%, with selling and administrative expenses rising by 13.4% to €135 million. R&D expenses decreased by 4.1% to €210 million due to the phasing out of certain models [2][5]. Market Performance - Ferrari's stock performance over the past month was -1.45%, while it gained 6.28% over three months and 33.74% over the past year. In comparison, the S&P 500 index increased by 4.09% in the last month, 13.15% in three months, and 35.42% over the past year [2][5]. Regional Sales - Total vehicle shipments in Q3 2024 were 3,383 units, down 2% year-on-year. The Asia-Pacific region, including mainland China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan, saw a significant decline of 29% in shipments [2][5].