Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 21.10 yuan as of October 23, 2024 [6][7] Core Views - The company is a global leader in smart display manufacturing, focusing on customized and differentiated display products, including smart interactive panels, professional displays, innovative displays, and smart TVs [2] - The company primarily operates through an OEM model, with 83.8% of its revenue coming from overseas sales in H1 2024 [2] - The global TV OEM market is expected to grow further due to increasing demand for cost-effective local brands and channel-owned brands, benefiting the company's smart TV business [3] - The company's smart interactive display business is expected to improve, driven by the replacement cycle in overseas education markets and emerging market demand [4] - The innovative display segment, including products like mobile smart screens and VR glasses, has shown rapid growth, with revenue increasing by 128.92% YoY in 2023 and 94.1% YoY in H1 2024 [5] Business Segments Smart TV - The company's smart TV business has shown strong growth, with a 20.7% CAGR from 2019 to 2023 and a 52.7% YoY increase in H1 2024 [16][17] - The company ranks fourth in the global TV OEM market in H1 2024, with a 43.7% YoY increase in shipments [40][41] - The global TV OEM market is expected to grow further, driven by cost pressures on brand manufacturers and the shift towards local brands and channel-owned brands [37] Smart Interactive Display - The company is the global leader in smart interactive panel shipments, with a 35.7% revenue share in 2023 [44] - The global IFPD (Interactive Flat Panel Display) market is expected to grow, with education and conference markets showing significant potential [46] - The company's smart interactive display business is expected to grow, with revenue projected to reach 40.1 billion yuan in 2024, 45.8 billion yuan in 2025, and 50.3 billion yuan in 2026 [61] Innovative Display - The innovative display segment, including products like mobile smart screens, VR glasses, and smart mirrors, has shown rapid growth, with revenue increasing by 128.92% YoY in 2023 and 94.1% YoY in H1 2024 [5][57] - The company's KTC brand ranks third in the domestic online market for gaming monitors, with a 142% YoY increase in sales in H1 2024 [53] - The innovative display segment is expected to continue its strong growth, with revenue projected to reach 14.4 billion yuan in 2024, 18.0 billion yuan in 2025, and 20.7 billion yuan in 2026 [62] Financial Projections - The company's revenue is expected to grow at a CAGR of 13.9% from 2024 to 2026, reaching 153.2 billion yuan in 2024, 174.4 billion yuan in 2025, and 189.9 billion yuan in 2026 [6][65] - Net profit is expected to grow at a CAGR of 36.2% from 2024 to 2026, reaching 9.73 billion yuan in 2024, 13.25 billion yuan in 2025, and 16.01 billion yuan in 2026 [6][65] - The company's EPS is projected to be 1.42 yuan in 2024, 1.93 yuan in 2025, and 2.33 yuan in 2026, with corresponding P/E ratios of 14.7x, 10.8x, and 9.0x [6][65]
康冠科技首次覆盖报告：传统品类改善在即，创新显示持续发力