Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [3] Core Views - The company experienced short-term fluctuations in Q3 due to weak global consumer demand, but sales are expected to improve marginally in Q4 as the high base effect diminishes [2] - The company's net profit forecasts for 2024-2026 have been revised down to $389 million, $436 million, and $490 million respectively, with the current stock price corresponding to P/E ratios of 9, 8, and 7 times [3] - Q3 sales were weak, with revenue of $880 million, a year-on-year decrease of 8.3% and a fixed exchange rate decline of 6.8% [3] - The gross margin decreased by 0.3 percentage points to 59.3%, and the net profit attributable to the parent company was $66 million, down 39.1% year-on-year [3] Summary by Sections Sales Performance - Q3 revenue breakdown by brand shows a decline: Samsonite at $480 million (-3.9%), TUMI at $190 million (-9.5%), and American Tourister at $140 million (-17.0%) [3] - By channel, wholesale revenue was $530 million (-11.5%) and DTC revenue was $350 million (-3.1%) [3] - By region, Q3 revenue was $330 million in Asia (-12%), $300 million in North America (-8%), $210 million in Europe (-2%), and $50 million in Latin America (-8%) [3] Future Outlook - Sales have shown marginal improvement since October, with a nearly double-digit year-on-year increase during the Singles' Day sales in China [3] - The revenue guidance for 2024 is expected to remain flat year-on-year (at fixed exchange rates), with a positive outlook for 2025 as the company focuses on higher-margin brands, channels, and regions [3]
新秀丽2024Q3业绩点评：Q3经营短期波动，Q4有望边际改善