Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3]. Core Views - The company's performance continues to decline, with a slight revenue increase but a significant drop in profitability. For the three months ending September 30, 2024, the unaudited consolidated revenue was approximately RMB 5.154 billion, a 3.1% increase from RMB 4.998 billion in the same period of 2023. However, the gross profit decreased by 12.7% to RMB 1.289 billion from RMB 1.476 billion in the previous year, and the net profit attributable to shareholders fell by 37.3% to RMB 0.357 billion from RMB 0.570 billion [3]. - The decline in performance is primarily attributed to the mining equipment sector, which has faced significant setbacks due to falling coal prices, leading to reduced purchasing intentions from coal enterprises. The company’s revenue from tunneling machines and comprehensive mining equipment has also decreased year-on-year [3]. - New business ventures, including the oil equipment business acquired in 2023, have not met expectations and are currently incurring losses, further dragging down overall performance [3]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2024 and 2025 are estimated at RMB 21.324 billion and RMB 23.229 billion, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 5.16% and 8.93% [3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be RMB 1.956 billion in 2024 and RMB 2.231 billion in 2025, with growth rates of 1.38% and 14.09% respectively [3]. - Key financial metrics indicate a net profit margin of 9.17% for 2024, increasing to 10.04% by 2026 [5]. Key Financial Indicators - The company’s revenue for 2023 is reported at RMB 20.278 billion, with a growth rate of 30.52%. The EBITDA for the same year is RMB 2.846 billion, with a projected increase to RMB 3.108 billion in 2024 [4][5]. - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to be 15.24% in 2024, slightly decreasing from 15.94% in 2023 [5]. - The company’s total assets are projected to grow from RMB 34.963 billion in 2023 to RMB 50.266 billion by 2026 [4]. Market Context - The mining equipment market outlook remains uncertain, with the company’s growth heavily reliant on the performance of its mining vehicle products and new product launches [3]. - The report highlights the challenges faced by the coal mining sector, which is expected to continue impacting the company’s performance in the short term [3].
三一国际：矿山装备前景不明朗，新业务拖累业绩增长