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联想集团:AI PC拉动均价提升,ISG再创新高

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Lenovo Group [6][8]. Core Views - Lenovo's Q2 fiscal revenue and net profit exceeded expectations, with revenue reaching 17.85billion,ayearonyearincreaseofnearly2417.85 billion, a year-on-year increase of nearly 24%. However, the gross margin was below expectations at 15.7% [2][3]. - The IDG business group saw a revenue increase of 17% to 13.5 billion, driven by a significant rise in AI PC sales, which increased from 5% to 14% of total sales, contributing to an estimated 5% increase in average selling price (ASP) [3][4]. - The ISG business achieved a record revenue of 3.3billion,growing653.3 billion, growing 65% year-on-year, with expectations of turning profitable in the first half of FY 25-26 [5][6]. Financial Summary - Projected revenues for FY 24/25, FY 25/26, and FY 26/27 are 66 billion, 71.1billion,and71.1 billion, and 79.3 billion, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 16.1%, 7.8%, and 11.4% [6][7]. - Expected net profits for the same periods are 1.3billion,1.3 billion, 1.5 billion, and $1.8 billion, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 25.7%, 15.9%, and 19.5% [6][7]. - The report estimates a reasonable market value of HKD 137.5 billion, with a target price of HKD 11.1 per share, based on a 12x P/E ratio for FY 25-26 [6][8].