Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with expected price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for 2024-2026 at 19.0x, 17.9x, and 15.5x respectively [2]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 22.585 billion yuan for Q3 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 26.8%, while net profit decreased by 0.2% to 1.168 billion yuan. Adjusted net profit fell by 17.5% to 1.782 billion yuan [1]. - The increase in revenue was accompanied by a higher rise in operating costs, which increased by 35.0% year-on-year, leading to a decline in gross margin by 4.7 percentage points to 22.7% [1]. - The company experienced growth in both new and existing home transactions, with existing home gross transaction value (GTV) at 477.8 billion yuan, up 8.8% year-on-year, and new home GTV at 227.6 billion yuan, up 18.4% year-on-year [1]. - The company's "one body, three wings" strategy is showing positive results, with home decoration, rental housing, and emerging businesses contributing to a total revenue of 8.64 billion yuan, a 54.3% increase year-on-year, accounting for 38.3% of total revenue [1]. - The company has been actively repurchasing shares, spending approximately 5.8 billion USD in 2024, which represents 3.32% of the total shares outstanding at the beginning of the period [1]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company’s projected Non-GAAP net profits are adjusted to 9.01 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 8.0%, with subsequent years showing growth of 6.3% and 15.4% for 2025 and 2026 respectively [2]. - The revenue forecast for 2024 is set at 91.12 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 17.16%, and is expected to reach 107.62 billion yuan in 2025 [5]. - The company’s diluted earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is projected at 2.486 yuan, with a return on equity (ROE) of 7.12% [5].
贝壳-W：强α持续兑现，β修复后未来可期