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赣锋锂业:2024年三季报点评:锂资源自给率显著提升

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [4]. Core Views - The company's resource self-sufficiency rate is expected to significantly improve due to the production of lithium carbonate from the Cauchari-Olaroz project in Argentina, which began operations in 2023, with an expected output of approximately 20,000 to 25,000 tons in 2024 [1]. - The company has a comprehensive layout in solid-state batteries, with production capabilities for lithium sulfide, a core raw material, and has developed high-energy density batteries with energy densities reaching 420Wh/kg and samples achieving 500Wh/kg [2]. - The company reported a turnaround in net profit for Q3 2024, achieving a net profit of 1.2 billion yuan, despite a year-on-year revenue decline of 42.5% [3]. Financial Summary - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 13.93 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 45.8%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -640 million yuan, a decline of 110.7% [3]. - The projected revenues for 2024-2026 are 18.31 billion yuan, 21.70 billion yuan, and 25.77 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits expected to be -300 million yuan, 800 million yuan, and 1.46 billion yuan [6]. - The company's earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be -0.15 yuan, 0.40 yuan, and 0.72 yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios (PE) of 107.9 and 58.9 for 2025 and 2026 [6].