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AI发展前景乐观,贝索斯回归亚马逊

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for Amazon (AMZN) with a target price of 269.40,indicatingan18269.40, indicating an 18% upside potential from the current price [2][21]. Core Insights - The outlook for AI development is optimistic, with AWS's AI business achieving a scale of several billion dollars and a growth rate exceeding 100%, which is more than three times the growth rate of AWS overall [1][7]. - Jeff Bezos has returned to Amazon's management team, focusing on driving further breakthroughs in the AI sector, which is expected to significantly impact Amazon's business model and future strategy [7]. - Amazon's e-commerce business is benefiting from industry expansion, continuous innovation, and cost control, with global e-commerce sales projected to grow by 8.4% in 2024, reaching 6.09 trillion [2][7]. Summary by Sections AI Business - AWS's AI business has reached a multi-billion dollar scale, with a growth rate exceeding 100%, significantly outpacing AWS's overall growth [1][7]. - The introduction of Amazon EC2 Trn2 instances powered by Trainium2 offers a cost advantage of 30-40% over current GPU-based instances, enhancing efficiency for clients [1][7]. - Collaboration with Anthropic on Project Rainier aims to expand distributed model training using Trainium2 chips [7]. E-commerce Business - Amazon is positioned as the largest player in the e-commerce market outside of China, benefiting from the industry's growth [2][7]. - The company is focusing on cost control and efficiency improvements, optimizing its inbound package network and utilizing automation in distribution centers [2][7]. - In Q3 2024, total revenue reached 158.9billion,withayearoveryeargrowthof11158.9 billion, with a year-over-year growth of 11%, and net profit increased by 52% to 15.3 billion [2][7]. Financial Performance - The report projects total revenues for 2024-2026 to be 640.3billion,640.3 billion, 708.6 billion, and 780.9billion,withyearoveryeargrowthratesof11780.9 billion, with year-over-year growth rates of 11% for 2024 and 2025, and 10% for 2026 [2][21]. - Operating profit is expected to rise significantly, with projections of 65.3 billion in 2024, 80.8billionin2025,and80.8 billion in 2025, and 97.6 billion in 2026 [2][21]. - The diluted earnings per share are forecasted to be 5.29,5.29, 6.45, and $7.71 for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, reflecting substantial growth [2][21].