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腾讯控股:AI布局行稳致远,生态赋能打造增长乘数
00700TENCENT(00700) 东吴证券·2024-12-24 09:10

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Tencent Holdings (00700 HK) [3] Core Viewpoints - Tencent's AI strategy focuses on "industrial practicality" with a dual emphasis on large models and applications The company has been investing in AI since 2012 and has developed a comprehensive AI ecosystem including the Hunyuan large model and various AI tools and applications [3] - Tencent's AI layout covers both B2B and B2C sectors with applications integrated into existing products and new AI-native applications The company's AI capabilities are ranked first in 8 out of 11 core tasks in the SuperCLUE Chinese Large Model Benchmark [21] - The report predicts Tencent's adjusted net profit for 2024-2026 to be 2174 2406 and 2653 billion yuan respectively with corresponding PE (Non-IFRS) ratios of 17 15 and 14 times [21] Development History - Tencent began its AI journey in 2012 with the establishment of the YouTu Lab focusing on computer vision technologies [13] - In 2016 Tencent established the AI Lab which focused on computer vision speech recognition natural language processing and machine learning [14] - In 2018 Tencent upgraded its AI strategy to focus on general AI research and established the Robotics X lab [15] - In 2022 Tencent publicly disclosed the development of its Hunyuan large model which covers NLP CV and multimodal capabilities [17] - By 2024 Tencent's Hunyuan large model had been tested in over 600 internal business scenarios and launched AI-native applications like Tencent Yuanqi and Tencent Yuanbao [18] AI Layout and Applications - Tencent's AI ecosystem includes both B2B and B2C applications with B2B focusing on large models cloud services and PaaS while B2C includes AI-enhanced existing applications and AI-native applications [20] - The Hunyuan large model developed by Tencent has trillion-scale parameters and excels in multimodal capabilities including text-to-image and video generation [25] - Tencent has integrated AI into various internal applications such as Tencent Meeting WeChat and QQ with nearly 700 business scenarios already using the Hunyuan model [26] - Tencent's AI applications in advertising have significantly improved ad targeting and efficiency with the new ad system 3 0 covering 95% of Tencent's ad placements and improving stability by 26% [53] - In gaming Tencent's AI engine GiiNEX has reduced the time required for city modeling from 5 days to 25 minutes [55] Financial Projections - The report forecasts Tencent's operating income for 2024-2026 to be 658160 716550 and 782730 million yuan respectively with year-on-year growth rates of 8 07% 8 87% and 9 24% [24] - Tencent's adjusted net profit for 2024-2026 is expected to be 217396 240603 and 265288 million yuan with year-on-year growth rates of 38% 11% and 10% respectively [24] - The PE (Non-IFRS) ratios for 2024-2026 are projected to be 17 15 and 14 times [21]