AHHL(600761) 东海证券·2024-12-25 13:52Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for Anhui Heli (600761) as it is considered a leading domestic forklift manufacturer with a comprehensive industry chain [4][17]. Core Viewpoints - Anhui Heli is a state-owned enterprise and a leader in the forklift industry, actively promoting globalization. The company has a strong presence in the global market with over 300 overseas agents covering more than 150 countries [16][28]. - The global forklift market is expanding, with significant shares held by overseas giants. The report highlights the increasing competitiveness of domestic manufacturers like Anhui Heli, which is narrowing the gap with international leaders [9][126]. - The company is expected to benefit from trends in electrification and automation, with a focus on lithium battery technology and intelligent logistics solutions [93][143]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Anhui Heli has been a key player in the forklift industry since its establishment in 1958, with a comprehensive product range covering various tonnage levels and types [28][29]. - The company has optimized its supply chain and production capabilities, establishing multiple manufacturing bases across China [29]. Market Analysis - The global forklift market has shown stable growth, with sales increasing from 988,800 units in 2013 to 2,101,500 units in 2023, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 7.83% [33][110]. - The domestic forklift market is also growing, with sales rising from 138,900 units in 2009 to 1,173,800 units in 2023, achieving a compound annual growth rate of 16.47% [76][87]. Financial Performance - In 2023, Anhui Heli achieved a revenue of 17.471 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.47%, with a net profit of 1.278 billion yuan, up 41.36% [48][67]. - The company forecasts net profits of 1.415 billion yuan, 1.587 billion yuan, and 1.866 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 11.53, 10.28, and 8.74 [17][165]. Strategic Initiatives - Anhui Heli is focusing on expanding its global footprint and enhancing its product offerings through technological innovation, particularly in electric and intelligent forklifts [93][148]. - The company is also investing in key projects to bolster its competitive edge, including the construction of new manufacturing facilities and the development of high-end components [69][70]. Future Outlook - The report anticipates continued growth in Anhui Heli's sales and profitability, driven by the global demand for forklifts and the company's strategic initiatives in electrification and automation [17][165]. - The company is well-positioned to capture a larger share of the global market as it enhances its brand recognition and operational efficiency [9][126].