Investment Rating - The report gives a "Recommend" rating to Shenzhou International (2313 HK) [189] Core Views - Shenzhou International is a global leader in knitted manufacturing with strong innovation R&D vertical integration and early globalization positioning it as a stable leader with upward growth potential [189] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 5 701 6 530 and 7 410 billion yuan in 2024-2026 with year-on-year growth rates of 25 1% 14 5% and 13 5% respectively [189] - The PE ratios for 2024-2026 are 15x 13x and 12x respectively indicating a valuation advantage compared to peers [189] Financial Performance - In 2023 Shenzhou International achieved revenue of 24 970 million yuan a year-on-year decrease of 10 1% and net profit of 4 557 million yuan a year-on-year decrease of 0 1% [94] - The company's revenue is expected to grow to 27 980 31 172 and 34 399 million yuan in 2024-2026 with year-on-year growth rates of 12 1% 11 4% and 10 4% respectively [94] - The gross margin is expected to gradually increase to 28 4% 28 7% and 29 1% in 2024-2026 driven by improved capacity utilization and overseas expansion [186] Product and Market Analysis - Sportswear is the main driver of revenue growth with sales expected to reach 19 530 21 896 and 24 300 million yuan in 2024-2026 [16] - The European market showed growth with revenue increasing from 3 890 million yuan in 2019 to 5 027 million yuan in 2023 accounting for 20 13% of total revenue [96] - The company has diversified its customer base with major clients including Nike Uniqlo Adidas and Puma [30] Industry Trends - The global sportswear market is expected to grow from 1 92 trillion USD in 2024 to 2 35 trillion USD in 2028 with a CAGR of 4 20% [106] - The top five global sportswear brands (Nike Adidas Puma Skechers and Lululemon) accounted for 31 2% of the market in 2023 with Nike leading at 15 8% [105] - The global sportswear manufacturing market grew from 85 53 billion USD in 2009 to 158 26 billion USD in 2023 with a CAGR of 4 2% [171] Competitive Advantages - Shenzhou International has a strong R&D capability with 767 patent applications and 505 authorized patents by the end of 2022 [18] - The company has a vertical integration model that shortens production and delivery cycles making it highly favored by brand customers [19] - Shenzhou International has established dedicated factories for major clients like Nike Puma Adidas and Uniqlo ensuring independence and confidentiality in production [137] Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from the increasing concentration of suppliers to leading brands with Adidas and Nike reducing their number of manufacturing partners [146] - Shenzhou International has expanded its cooperation with new brands like FILA Lululemon and Lacoste which are expected to drive future growth [183] - The company is actively promoting automation and digitalization in its production processes to improve efficiency and reduce costs [166]
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