新泉股份：汽车内饰件龙头，全球化进程开启

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, with a target price of 58.40 yuan based on a 20x PE ratio for 2025 [10]. Core Insights - The company is a leading provider of automotive interior and exterior parts, with a strong focus on passenger vehicles, which now account for 85% of its revenue [20][30]. - The company has successfully expanded its product offerings from commercial vehicles to passenger vehicles, with significant growth in its exterior parts business, which saw a revenue increase of 247% year-on-year in the first half of 2024 [20]. - The company is actively pursuing international expansion, with production bases established in Malaysia and Mexico, and subsidiaries in the United States and Slovakia [50]. Financial Performance - The company is projected to achieve a CAGR of 28.8% in net profit from 2024 to 2026, with EPS estimates of 2.19, 2.92, and 3.54 yuan for the respective years [10]. - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company reported revenue of 9.605 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 31.2%, and a net profit of 686 million yuan, up 22.2% [30]. - The company's revenue growth has been robust, with a 3-year CAGR of 42.2% and a net profit CAGR of 46.2% from 2021 to 2023 [30]. Market Position - The company holds a significant market share in the passenger vehicle segment, with major clients including Geely, BYD, and Chery, and the top five customers accounted for 71% of total revenue in 2023 [20][30]. - The automotive interior industry is characterized by low concentration, providing opportunities for growth as domestic brands rise [38]. - The report highlights the potential for further growth in the exterior parts segment, which currently represents only 3.8% of total revenue [20]. Valuation Metrics - The company is valued at a total market capitalization of 22.338 billion yuan, with a total asset value of 14.671 billion yuan [22]. - The report provides a relative valuation analysis, indicating a dynamic PE of 21, 16, and 13 for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [10].