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海力风电:国内海风管桩领先企业,2025年有望量利齐升

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (首次) [1] Core Viewpoints - The company is a leading domestic enterprise in offshore wind pipe piles, expected to achieve simultaneous growth in volume and profit by 2025 [4] - The company has a diversified business model with three main segments: wind power equipment manufacturing, renewable energy development, and construction and operation services [14] - The company is positioned to benefit from a significant increase in domestic offshore wind installations in 2025, with projected installations of 13-15 GW, representing a year-on-year growth of 117%-150% [5] Summary by Relevant Sections Company Overview - Established in 2009, the company specializes in manufacturing components for offshore wind power, including towers, single piles, and transition pieces [14] - In 2023, 97% of the company's revenue came from wind power equipment, with pile foundation business contributing the most at 66% of total revenue [4][14] Industry Outlook - The offshore wind industry in China is expected to grow significantly, with a projected installation of 6 GW in 2024 and 13-15 GW in 2025, driven by the removal of previous installation constraints [5] - The company holds a leading market share in offshore tower and pile products, with respective market shares of 25.69% and 23.03% as of 2019 [5][62] Competitive Advantages - The company has a strong capacity layout with multiple small production sites and self-owned wharf resources, enhancing order acquisition and delivery capabilities [6] - The company has accumulated extensive experience in offshore wind projects since its inception, maintaining strong relationships with key industry players [6][70] Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 17.0 billion, 62.7 billion, and 91.8 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 1.1%, 267.7%, and 46.4% [7][10] - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 9.0 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a significant recovery from previous losses [7][10]