JONJEE(600872)2025-01-24 10:15Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company is focusing on cost reduction and efficiency improvement, leading to a year-on-year increase in profitability [5] - The company’s net profit for 2024 is forecasted to be between 679 million and 1.018 billion yuan, reflecting a decrease of 40%-60% year-on-year, primarily due to a high base effect from a previous provision reversal [5] - The non-GAAP net profit is expected to be between 629 million and 734 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 20%-40% due to lower raw material procurement costs [5] - In Q4 2024, the company anticipates a net profit of 103 million to 442 million yuan, a decrease of 85%-97% year-on-year, while the non-GAAP net profit is projected to be between 770 million and 1.82 billion yuan, indicating a significant increase of 26%-198% [5] Summary by Sections Sales and Profitability - The company is accelerating its sales pace in Q4 2024, with an annual revenue growth of 12% driven by adjustments in distribution channels and product improvements [6] - The company plans to enhance channel profits while maintaining existing customer bases and expanding new ones [6] - The company aims to achieve its 2025 revenue target of 6.784 billion yuan, with an operating profit margin of no less than 16.5% and a return on equity of no less than 15.5% [6] Earnings Forecast - The report adjusts the earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2024-2026 to 1.07, 1.29, and 1.53 yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 20, 17, and 14 times [7] - The company’s marketing structure and personnel adjustments are entering a verification phase, with a focus on channel reform and the progress of merger and acquisition projects [7] Financial Projections - The company’s main revenue is projected to grow from 5.139 billion yuan in 2023 to 7.462 billion yuan in 2026, reflecting a compound annual growth rate [11] - The net profit is expected to recover from 1.697 billion yuan in 2023 to 1.202 billion yuan in 2026, with significant growth rates anticipated in the coming years [11]