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超威半导体:数据中心业务收入不及预期,但股价依然有吸引力
AMDAMD(AMD) 交银国际证券·2025-02-07 10:28

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for Advanced Micro Devices (AMD US) [5][11][16] Core Insights - The report indicates that while the data center business revenue fell short of expectations, the stock remains attractive. The target price has been adjusted down to 141,reflectingapotentialupsideof25.9141, reflecting a potential upside of 25.9% from the current price of 112.01 [5][11][16] - The company reported 4Q24 revenue of 7.658billion,exceedingboththereportsandmarketsexpectationsof7.658 billion, exceeding both the report's and market's expectations of 7.5 billion. The adjusted EPS for 4Q24 was 1.09,aligningwithexpectations[5][6]Managementguidancefor1Q25revenueissetat1.09, aligning with expectations [5][6] - Management guidance for 1Q25 revenue is set at 7.1 billion, which is consistent with market expectations. The company anticipates strong double-digit growth for the full year of 2025 [5][6] Financial Overview - Revenue projections for AMD are as follows: - 2023: 22.68billion2024:22.68 billion - 2024: 25.785 billion - 2025E: 31.433billion2026E:31.433 billion - 2026E: 38.368 billion - 2027E: 40.651billionYearoveryeargrowthratesareprojectedat3.940.651 billion - Year-over-year growth rates are projected at -3.9% for 2023, 13.7% for 2024, and 21.9% for 2025 [4][13] - Net profit estimates are: - 2023: 4.302 billion - 2024: 5.420billion2025E:5.420 billion - 2025E: 7.477 billion - 2026E: 9.975billion2027E:9.975 billion - 2027E: 13.126 billion - The report highlights a decrease in the expected EPS for 2025 from 4.94to4.94 to 4.55, reflecting an adjustment of -8% [4][5][6] Market Performance - AMD's stock has seen a year-to-date change of -7.27% and has a market capitalization of approximately 181.77billion[3][4]Thestocks52weekhighwas181.77 billion [3][4] - The stock's 52-week high was 211.38, while the low was 112.01[3][4]ProductandBusinessInsightsThereportnotesthatthedatacenterrevenuefor4Q24was112.01 [3][4] Product and Business Insights - The report notes that the data center revenue for 4Q24 was 3.9 billion, slightly below the expected 4.1billion.However,managementexpectsdatacenterGPUrevenuetoexceed4.1 billion. However, management expects data center GPU revenue to exceed 5 billion for the full year of 2024 [5][6] - The MI325 product has been shipped to customers, and there is strong enthusiasm for the upcoming MI350 product, which is expected to launch earlier than initially planned [5][6] - The report emphasizes AMD's leadership in Chiplet technology, which may enhance product diversity and flexibility compared to competitors [5][6]