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百胜中国:Q4经调净利润+11%,持续推进扩张与提效
09987YUM CHINA(09987) 广发证券·2025-02-09 15:01

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for both Hong Kong and US stocks of Yum China [5] Core Views - The company reported a Q4 adjusted net profit increase of 11%, continuing its expansion and efficiency improvement efforts [3][10] - The company aims to increase its store count in 2025, targeting a net addition of 1,600 to 1,800 stores [10] - The company maintains a strong shareholder return policy, with plans for share buybacks and dividends totaling approximately 3billionfrom2025to2026[10]FinancialSummaryRevenueForecast:Expectedtogrowfrom3 billion from 2025 to 2026 [10] Financial Summary - **Revenue Forecast**: Expected to grow from 10.98 billion in 2023 to 13.55billionin2027,withgrowthratesof14.713.55 billion in 2027, with growth rates of 14.7% in 2023 and 7.1% in 2027 [4][12] - **Net Profit**: Projected to increase from 827 million in 2023 to 1.16billionin2027,withagrowthrateof87.11.16 billion in 2027, with a growth rate of 87.1% in 2023 [4][12] - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: Expected to rise from 2.00 in 2023 to $3.55 in 2027 [4][12] - Valuation Metrics: The report estimates a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 21.33 in 2023, decreasing to 13.84 by 2027 [4][12] - Return on Equity (ROE): Forecasted to improve from 12.9% in 2023 to 18.8% in 2027 [4][12]