SMIC(688981) 第一创业·2025-02-13 02:17Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Strong Buy," indicating an expected stock price increase of over 20% within the next six months compared to the market benchmark index [22]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the demand for domestic chips is expected to accelerate, with growth potential in both mature and advanced process chips in China, leading to an optimistic long-term outlook for the domestic chip and overall electronics industry [3]. - The company announced a sales revenue forecast of 163 million in Q4 2024, a 160% year-on-year increase, indicating significant improvements in advanced process revenue and profitability [17][5]. - The company shipped over 8 million 8-inch equivalent wafers in 2024, with Q4 shipments of 1.992 million wafers, reflecting an 18.9% year-on-year growth, although the growth rate is lower than revenue growth, suggesting that revenue increases are primarily driven by higher average product prices [5]. - Capital expenditures for Q4 2024 were 7.33 billion. The company expects capital expenditures in 2025 to remain roughly the same as in 2024, focusing on advanced process expansion [5]. - The report notes that domestic AI models, such as Deepseek, are being adopted by nearly all computing chip companies in China, indicating a strong growth trajectory for domestic chip applications [5].