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国光股份:事件点评:“一号文件”首提农业新质生产力,植调剂增产应用大有可为-20250226

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Guoguang Co., Ltd. (002749.SZ) with a current price of 13.31 yuan [4]. Core Viewpoints - The central government's focus on food security and the introduction of "new agricultural productivity" in the 2025 Central Document highlights the importance of increasing agricultural yield [2][3]. - Guoguang Co., Ltd. is positioned as a leading enterprise in plant growth regulators, with significant growth potential in the large-scale crop market, driven by its comprehensive crop management solutions [3][4]. - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 374 million yuan, 465 million yuan, and 578 million yuan for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 17x, 13x, and 11x [3][4]. Summary by Relevant Sections Company Overview - Guoguang Co., Ltd. is actively expanding its presence in the large-scale crop market, leveraging its expertise in plant growth regulators and comprehensive crop management solutions [3]. Financial Forecast - The projected revenue for Guoguang Co., Ltd. is expected to grow from 2,254 million yuan in 2024 to 3,280 million yuan in 2026, reflecting a growth rate of 21.2% and 20.5% respectively [7][8]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to increase significantly, with a growth rate of 23.8% in 2024 and 24.3% in the following years [7][8]. Market Position - The report emphasizes the company's strong position in the plant growth regulator sector and its potential to benefit from the government's agricultural policies aimed at enhancing productivity [2][3].