Fuling Zhacai(002507) 华鑫证券·2025-02-28 10:23Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company's performance is under pressure, with a projected revenue of 2.408 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 2% year-on-year, and a net profit of 824 million yuan, down 0.3% year-on-year. However, the non-recurring net profit is expected to increase by 0.1% to 757 million yuan [5] - The company has completed organizational restructuring and is focusing on optimizing product and channel collaboration, which is expected to drive growth in the restaurant channel [6] - The company is actively addressing previous marketing and product strategy issues, leading to continuous improvement in performance, with a forecasted EPS of 0.71, 0.79, and 0.85 yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company reported revenue of 446 million yuan, a decrease of 11% year-on-year, and a net profit of 153 million yuan, down 8% year-on-year. The non-recurring net profit for the same period was 120 million yuan, a decrease of 22% [5] - The company expects to maintain a high gross margin despite the ongoing digestion of low-cost raw materials [5] Organizational Changes - The company has optimized departmental collaboration and completed a flat organizational structure reform, which is expected to enhance the adaptability of its products in the restaurant channel [6] - The company is increasing the speed of product optimization and new product launches, with specific support for channel policies [6] Earnings Forecast - The earnings per share (EPS) estimates have been adjusted to 0.71, 0.79, and 0.85 yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 19, 17, and 16 times [7] - The company is expected to continue benefiting from a sufficient reserve of low-cost raw materials, which will help maintain high gross margins [7]