SRBC(600039) 国盛证券·2025-03-03 04:25Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][7]. Core Views - Sichuan Road and Bridge's stock price has increased by a maximum of 478% from its lowest point in February 2020 to its highest point in April 2023, showcasing its exemplary value management and asset appreciation as a local state-owned enterprise [1][13]. - The main drivers of the company's stock price are continuous share purchases by the controlling shareholder, the integrated investment and construction model driving performance growth, and high dividends enhancing investment attractiveness [1][2][3]. Summary by Sections Shareholder Support - The controlling shareholder, Shudao Group, has increased its stake in Sichuan Road and Bridge from 43% in early 2020 to 79.5% by the third quarter of 2024 through secondary market purchases and private placements [1][22]. - Shudao Group is a leading player in transportation infrastructure investment in Western China, with total assets of CNY 1.34 trillion and significant contributions to Sichuan Road and Bridge's revenue and profit [17][19]. Performance Drivers - The integrated investment and construction model allows Sichuan Road and Bridge to undertake large projects with minimal capital expenditure and higher profit margins, as evidenced by a gross margin of 20.3% for domestic projects in 2023 [2][28]. - The company has seen its order volume, revenue, and net profit increase significantly, with 2022 figures being 2.6 times those of 2019 [2][28]. Dividend Policy - Sichuan Road and Bridge has maintained a high cash dividend payout ratio, with rates increasing from 15.2% in 2019 to 50% in 2023, and plans to maintain a minimum of 60% from 2024 to 2027 [3][48]. - The company's dividend yield is projected to be 5.8% in 2024, 7.4% in 2025, and 7.8% in 2026, making it an attractive investment option [4][48]. Future Growth Potential - The company is expected to benefit from the new model of "highway plus resource development," which aims to enhance project profitability by integrating highway projects with resource exploitation [4][51]. - Sichuan's highway network is projected to double by 2035, providing ample opportunities for Sichuan Road and Bridge to secure high-quality orders from Shudao Group [2][40].