TCL TECH.(000100) 天风证券·2025-03-12 12:10Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for TCL Technology with a target price of 5.93 CNY, reflecting a positive outlook for the company's performance in the coming years [9]. Core Insights - TCL Technology is positioned as a global leader in semiconductor display and photovoltaic silicon wafer industries, with strong profitability and growth potential. The company reported a significant increase in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2024, driven by its semiconductor display business [1][7]. - The company is actively pursuing share buybacks and strategic acquisitions to enhance shareholder value and strengthen its market position [2]. - Government subsidy policies are expected to stimulate demand for large-sized TVs, benefiting TCL's sales and market share [3]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - TCL Technology focuses on semiconductor display and new energy photovoltaic sectors, aiming to become a leading high-tech enterprise globally. The company has a strong market presence, with TCL Huaxing ranking second in global TV panel shipments and TCL Zhonghuan leading in photovoltaic silicon wafer market share [1][16]. Semiconductor Display Business - The semiconductor display segment is TCL's primary business, contributing 47.98% to total revenue in 2023. The company achieved a revenue of 498.77 billion CNY in the first half of 2024, marking a 40.39% year-on-year increase [27][29]. - The large-sized panel market is experiencing growth due to government incentives, with TCL Huaxing maintaining a strong competitive position [3][29]. Photovoltaic Business - The photovoltaic segment accounted for 33.92% of TCL's total revenue in 2023. Despite facing short-term challenges due to supply-demand imbalances, TCL Zhonghuan is expected to benefit from long-term market growth [30][36]. - The company is focusing on cost reduction and efficiency improvements to enhance its competitive edge in the photovoltaic industry [30]. Financial Performance - TCL Technology's financial performance has shown significant improvement, with total revenue increasing from 766.77 billion CNY in 2020 to 1743.67 billion CNY in 2023. The net profit for the first half of 2024 reached 9.95 billion CNY, a 192.28% increase year-on-year [32][34]. - The company has maintained a stable gross margin, with the semiconductor display business achieving a gross margin of 18.80% in the first half of 2024 [36][39]. Future Outlook - The report forecasts revenue growth for TCL Technology, estimating revenues of 1694.57 billion CNY, 1956.04 billion CNY, and 2172.38 billion CNY for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively. The net profit is projected to reach 16.88 billion CNY in 2024 [7][8].