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昆药集团:利润稳健增长,提质增效值得期待-20250317
600422KPC(600422) 中银证券·2025-03-17 03:14

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expectation that the stock price will outperform the benchmark index by over 20% in the next 6-12 months [1][4][15]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve steady profit growth in 2024, with a strong performance in the fourth quarter. The integration of channels is nearing completion, and improvements in quality and efficiency are anticipated [3][7]. - The acquisition of a 51% stake in Kunming Huaren Shenghuo Pharmaceutical is a strategic move to address competition with Huaren Sanjiu and further expand into the health sector [7]. - The company's strategy of "big products + all channels + branding" is progressing, with significant channel integration completed, which is expected to enhance quality and efficiency [7]. Financial Summary - The company’s projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are RMB 9.22 billion, RMB 10.29 billion, and RMB 11.27 billion, respectively, with growth rates of 9.8%, 11.6%, and 9.5% [6]. - The expected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are RMB 718 million, RMB 878 million, and RMB 1.067 billion, reflecting growth rates of 10.8%, 22.3%, and 21.6% [6][9]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be RMB 0.95, RMB 1.16, and RMB 1.41 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [4][6]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for the same years are expected to be 18.1, 14.8, and 12.2 [4][9].