Shanghai Pharma(601607) 平安证券·2025-03-17 08:04Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for Shanghai Pharmaceuticals [1] Core Views - The industrial potential of Shanghai Pharmaceuticals is gradually being realized, with dual drivers of revenue growth from innovative drugs and traditional Chinese medicine [8] - The company has a strong national background and a comprehensive industry chain layout, which positions it well for future growth [8] - The commercial segment is experiencing stable growth, with innovative business areas becoming highlights [8] Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - Shanghai Pharmaceuticals has a deep state-owned background and a solid leading position in the industry [11] - The company focuses on pharmaceutical research, manufacturing, distribution, and retail, covering seven major therapeutic areas [16] 2. Pharmaceutical Industry - The company has a broad layout in innovative drugs and has made acquisitions to enhance its traditional Chinese medicine segment, which has become a second growth curve [26] - As of 2024, the company has 60 new drug pipelines, with 46 being innovative drugs [41] 3. Commercial Segment - The pharmaceutical commercial segment is the main source of revenue, achieving an operating income of 242.87 billion yuan in 2023, a year-on-year increase of 13.5% [19] - The CSO business has significant growth potential, with sales reaching 2.9 billion yuan in 2023, a year-on-year increase of approximately 50% [8] 4. Financial Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 4.917 billion yuan, 5.608 billion yuan, and 6.283 billion yuan in 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [8] - The report anticipates a recovery in profitability, with net profit margins gradually returning to previous levels [22]