Workflow
食品饮料行业周报:政策刺激提振信心,板块情绪回暖,关注低估值下的配置机会
中银证券·2025-03-17 08:23

Investment Rating - The report rates the food and beverage industry as "Outperforming the Market" [1] Core Views - Policy stimulus is boosting confidence in the food and beverage sector, leading to a recovery in market sentiment and highlighting investment opportunities in undervalued segments [1][5] - The food and beverage sector saw a weekly increase of 6.2%, ranking second among the Shenwan primary industries, with other alcoholic beverages showing significant gains [2][8] - The introduction of substantial childcare subsidies in Hohhot is expected to benefit the dairy sector, contributing to a notable year-to-date increase in stock prices [5] Market Review - The food and beverage sector's weekly performance was +6.2%, outperforming the CSI 300 index, which was +1.6% [8] - Sub-sectors such as other alcoholic beverages and pre-processed foods led the gains with increases of +8.4% and +7.8%, respectively, while seasoning and fermented products lagged behind with +2.6% and +1.5% [2][11] - As of March 14, the valuation of the liquor sector (PE-TTM) was 21.2X, while the overall food and beverage sector was at 22.1X [19] Industry Data - The average price of fresh milk in China was 3.08 RMB/kg as of March 7, showing a month-on-month decrease of 0.3% and a year-on-year decrease of 13.5% [38] - The price of live pigs was 7.42 RMB/jin as of March 14, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 0.8% and a year-on-year increase of 0.3% [42] - The report highlights the significant impact of government policies aimed at boosting birth rates and consumer spending, which are expected to positively influence the food and beverage sector [5][50]