Investment Rating - Industry rating: "Overweight" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The market performance of traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) sector shows a 0.8% increase last week, while the overall pharmaceutical sector continues its rebound [1][4] - The expansion of grassroots TCM services is expected to drive demand growth, with the number of TCM clinics increasing from over 3,000 in 2015 to 42,000 in 2024, achieving nearly full coverage in community health service centers and township hospitals [8] - The TCM sector is experiencing a dual scenario of price governance and consumer recovery, presenting both pressures and opportunities [9] Summary by Sections Market Performance - Last week, the TCM index closed at 6446.65 points, up 0.8%, while the pharmaceutical sector index rose to 7368.1 points, an increase of 2.71% [4][14] - The relative performance of TCM compared to the CSI 300 index shows a decline of 2% over the past month and 17% over the past year [3][4] Valuation - The TCM sector's PE (ttm) is 26.87X, up 0.22X week-on-week, with a one-year maximum of 30.13X and a minimum of 22.58X. The PB (lf) is 2.32X, also up 0.02X week-on-week, with a one-year maximum of 2.65X and a minimum of 1.99X [6] - The TCM sector has a valuation premium of 110.86% compared to the CSI 300 index [6] Upstream TCM Materials - The TCM materials price index decreased slightly to 255.65 points, down 0.2% week-on-week, influenced by the Spring Festival market closure [7] Investment Suggestions - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong R&D capabilities and unique products that can benefit from price governance and consumer recovery [9][10] - Key investment themes include price governance, consumer recovery, and state-owned enterprise reform, with recommendations to pay attention to companies with strong brand power and product advantages [11]
中药行业周报:基层中医药覆盖面持续扩展,看好基层渗透率提升带来的需求增长-20250319
Xiangcai Securities·2025-02-20 02:28