FIYTA(000026) 国泰君安·2025-03-17 08:00Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" with a target price of 13.20, up from the previous forecast of 12.20 [1][13]. Core Views - The company is actively promoting brand upgrades and channel optimization, awaiting business stabilization and recovery [2]. - The report highlights a significant decline in revenue and net profit for 2024, with revenue expected to be 39.41 billion and net profit at 2.2 billion, reflecting a decrease of 13.8% and 33.9% respectively compared to the previous year [13]. Financial Summary - Revenue Forecast: - 2023A: 4,570 million - 2024A: 3,941 million - 2025E: 4,336 million - 2026E: 4,723 million - 2027E: 5,102 million - Revenue growth rates: -13.8% in 2024, followed by 10.0% in 2025 [4][14]. - Net Profit (Attributable to Parent): - 2023A: 333 million - 2024A: 220 million - 2025E: 243 million - 2026E: 265 million - 2027E: 286 million - Net profit growth rates: -33.9% in 2024, followed by 10.5% in 2025 [4][14]. - Earnings Per Share (EPS): - 2023A: 0.82 - 2024A: 0.54 - 2025E: 0.60 - 2026E: 0.65 - 2027E: 0.71 [4][14]. - Return on Equity (ROE): - 2023A: 10.0% - 2024A: 6.5% - 2025E: 7.0% - 2026E: 7.5% - 2027E: 7.9% [4][14]. Market Data - Current Price: 11.03 - 52-week Price Range: 8.61 - 11.53 - Market Capitalization: 4,476 million - Total Shares: 406 million, with 365 million in circulation [5][14]. Valuation Overview - The company is valued at a PE of 22 times for 2025, leading to a reasonable valuation of 13.20 [15][17].