Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [4]. Core Views - The report highlights the increasing demand for chromium salt products driven by robust domestic and international needs, particularly in high-temperature alloys, which is expected to enhance the company's leading position in the industry [2][9]. - The company has demonstrated significant growth in both sales volume and pricing of chromium salt products, with a notable increase in production capacity due to the Chongqing Minfeng relocation project [3][9]. Summary by Relevant Sections Price Adjustments - On February 16, 2025, the company announced price increases for sodium dichromate and potassium dichromate by 500 CNY/ton, and for chromium trioxide and chromium oxide green by 1000 CNY/ton. Earlier, on February 11, the price of metallic chromium was raised by 3000 CNY/ton [1]. Market Demand and Pricing Trends - As of March 4, 2025, the average market price for metallic chromium was 62,500 CNY/ton, up 2,500 CNY/ton since the beginning of the year, reflecting a monthly increase of 4.17%. The average price for chromium oxide green was 29,000 CNY/ton, with a year-to-date increase of 1,000 CNY/ton, showing a monthly rise of 3.57% [2]. Production and Capacity - In 2023, the company produced approximately 245,000 tons of chromium salt (in terms of sodium dichromate). The total domestic production capacity is around 400,000 tons per year. The company is also the largest producer of vitamin K3 globally, leveraging its raw material advantages [2][3]. Future Growth Projections - The report forecasts the company's net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024, 2025, and 2026 to be 480.64 million CNY, 549.30 million CNY, and 633.77 million CNY, respectively. The expected earnings per share (EPS) for the same years are projected to be 0.94 CNY, 1.08 CNY, and 1.25 CNY [9][11].
振华股份(603067)动态点评:下游需求旺盛,铬盐行业景气度上行