Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The company's performance is significantly driven by transformation and upgrades, leading to substantial growth in earnings, supported by high dividends that indicate a return to value [4] - The company reported a revenue of 15.57 billion HKD in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 24.13%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.87 billion HKD, an increase of 51.05% [6] - The company is expected to benefit from the realization of profits from the South China logistics park transformation project, with anticipated tax-adjusted gains of 2.367 billion HKD from land preparation and further potential gains of approximately 8.2 billion HKD from land swaps [6] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 20.52 billion HKD in 2023, 15.57 billion HKD in 2024, 15.51 billion HKD in 2025E, 16.40 billion HKD in 2026E, and 17.25 billion HKD in 2027E, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 32.2%, -24.1%, -0.4%, 5.7%, and 5.2% [5] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 1.90 billion HKD in 2023, 2.87 billion HKD in 2024, 3.64 billion HKD in 2025E, 3.65 billion HKD in 2026E, and 2.80 billion HKD in 2027E, with growth rates of 51.7%, 51.1%, 26.6%, 0.5%, and -23.5% respectively [5] - The company maintains a dividend payout ratio of approximately 50%, with a proposed final dividend of 0.598 HKD per share [6] Market Performance - The toll road business remains stable, while the environmental protection business faces short-term pressure due to impairment provisions [6] - Toll revenue and net profit decreased by 8% and 12% year-on-year, respectively, primarily due to adverse weather and increased free periods for small passenger vehicles during holidays [6] - The environmental protection business reported a revenue decline of 15% year-on-year, leading to a net loss of approximately 683 million HKD [6] Debt and Dividend Structure - The company is optimizing its debt structure, maintaining a 50% dividend payout ratio, which supports a high dividend yield and potential return to value [6] - The company has significantly reduced net exchange losses compared to 2023, with a notable decrease of 528 million HKD [6]
深圳国际（00152）：转型升级驱动业绩大幅增长，高股息支撑价值回归