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中信证券(600030):2024年报点评:国际业务表现亮眼,综合实力行业领先

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for CITIC Securities (600030.SH) [7] Core Views - CITIC Securities reported a revenue of 63.79 billion yuan and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 21.70 billion yuan for 2024, representing year-on-year changes of +6.2% and +10.1% respectively [1][7] - The fourth quarter saw revenues and net profits of 17.65 billion yuan and 4.91 billion yuan, with quarter-on-quarter changes of +10.6% and -21.3% respectively, with the decline in net profit attributed to increased management expenses [1][7] - The company’s weighted average ROE increased by 0.28 percentage points to 8.1% [1] - The report highlights the strong performance of international business, with net profit from international operations reaching 530 million USD, a year-on-year increase of 115.5% [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, CITIC Securities achieved net income from brokerage, investment banking, and asset management of 10.71 billion yuan, 4.16 billion yuan, and 10.51 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year changes of +4.8%, -33.9%, and +6.7% respectively [2] - The average daily trading volume (ADT) in the A-share market for Q4 was 1.6 trillion yuan, which positively impacted brokerage net income [2] - The company’s financial asset investment increased by 20.4% year-on-year, with trading financial assets and other equity investments growing by 10.5% and 853% respectively [3] Future Projections - The report projects net profits for CITIC Securities to be 22.30 billion yuan, 24.20 billion yuan, and 26.03 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of +2.8%, +8.5%, and +7.6% respectively [3] - The projected price-to-book (PB) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.40, 1.29, and 1.19 respectively [3]