Investment Rating - The report upgrades the investment rating of the company to "Buy" [4][7][10] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve significant revenue growth driven by the acquisition of quality assets and the closure of outdated production capacity, with projected revenues of 30.6 billion, 41.99 billion, and 47.04 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [6][7] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of no less than 75% of the net profit attributable to shareholders from 2025 to 2027, with a minimum cash dividend of 0.19 yuan per share [6][7] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 30.021 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.83%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 858 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.17% [6][7] - The company’s cash flow from operating activities reached 2.757 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 181.64% [6] - The company’s power generation business reported revenue of 6.685 billion yuan in 2024, with a gross profit increase of 60.47% [6][7] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 1.137 billion, 2.022 billion, and 2.711 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding earnings per share of 0.29, 0.52, and 0.70 yuan [7][9] - The current stock price of 3.33 yuan corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.4X for 2025, 6.4X for 2026, and 4.8X for 2027 [7][9]
淮河能源:收购电力资产稳步推进,75%现金分红承诺具吸引力-20250329