Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 38.22 CNY [5]. Core Views - The company is expected to see improvements in its automotive parts business margins and is focusing on advancements in its robotics business [1]. - The revenue, gross margin, and expense ratios have been adjusted, with new profit forecasts for 2025-2027 indicating net profits of 3.666 billion, 4.246 billion, and 4.748 billion CNY respectively [2]. Financial Summary - Revenue Forecasts: - 2023: 24,558 million CNY - 2024: 27,947 million CNY (up 13.8% YoY) - 2025: 34,640 million CNY (up 23.9% YoY) - 2026: 39,396 million CNY (up 13.7% YoY) - 2027: 43,972 million CNY (up 11.6% YoY) [4][10] - Profitability Metrics: - Gross Margin: 27.6% in 2023, expected to remain stable through 2027 - Net Profit Margin: 11.9% in 2023, projected to decline slightly to 10.6% by 2025 [4][10] - Earnings Per Share (EPS): - 2023: 0.78 CNY - 2024: 0.83 CNY - 2025: 0.98 CNY - 2026: 1.14 CNY - 2027: 1.27 CNY [4][10] - Valuation Ratios: - Price-to-Earnings (PE) Ratio: Expected to decrease from 37.9 in 2023 to 23.3 in 2027 - Price-to-Book (PB) Ratio: Expected to decrease from 6.2 in 2023 to 4.1 in 2027 [4][10] Business Segments - Automotive Parts Business: - Revenue of 113.87 billion CNY in 2024, up 14.9% YoY, with a gross margin of 27.64% [10]. - Refrigeration and Air Conditioning Business: - Revenue of 165.61 billion CNY in 2024, up 13.1% YoY, with a gross margin of 27.35% [10]. - Robotics Business: - The company is nearing mass production of humanoid robots, which is expected to open new growth opportunities [10].
三花智控:汽零业务毛利率改善,关注机器人业务进展-20250330