TLC(002466) 华福证券·2025-03-30 14:20Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with an expectation of a relative increase in stock price of over 20% compared to the market benchmark index within the next six months [16]. Core Views - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for 2024, with revenue at 13.063 billion yuan, down 67.75% year-on-year, and a net loss of 7.905 billion yuan, a decrease of 208.32% year-on-year. The primary reason for this decline was the termination of the Quinan lithium hydroxide project, leading to a full impairment of assets worth 2.114 billion yuan [3][5]. - The production and sales of lithium concentrate showed a decrease in Q4 2024, with production at 392,000 tons (down 3.3% quarter-on-quarter) and sales at 312,000 tons (down 20.3% quarter-on-quarter) [4]. - The average selling price of lithium concentrate in Q4 2024 was 736 USD/ton, reflecting a 15.6% decrease quarter-on-quarter [4]. - The company anticipates a gradual recovery in net profit from 1.616 billion yuan in 2025 to 3.38 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding PE ratios of 31, 17, and 15 [5]. Financial Data Summary - For 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 13.063 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of -68%. The net profit was -7.905 billion yuan, with a growth rate of -208% [6]. - The average cash production cost for lithium concentrate in 2024 was 326 AUD/ton, an increase of 14.59% year-on-year [5]. - The company’s inventory of lithium concentrate decreased by 26.9% year-on-year, indicating ongoing inventory digestion [5].