Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company's revenue for 2024 is projected to be 2.79 billion, with a net profit of 240 million, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 7.7% in revenue and an increase of 27.0% in net profit [2] - The decline in revenue is attributed to intensified competition and changes in examination schedules affecting enrollment [3] - AI technology is expected to enhance teaching efficiency and operational effectiveness, contributing to a potential increase in profit margins [5] Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - The company's revenue for 2024 is expected to be 2.79 billion, with a net profit of 240 million, showing a year-on-year decrease of 7.7% in revenue and an increase of 27.0% in net profit [2] - The adjusted net profit margin for 2024 is projected at 13%, down 1.7 percentage points from the previous year [5] Business Segments - Revenue from training services and book sales for 2024 is expected to be 2.34 billion and 450 million, respectively, representing declines of 6.9% and 11.4% year-on-year [3] - The average monthly active users on the platform for 2024 is projected to remain stable at 9.1 million [3] Financial Forecasts - Revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been adjusted down to 2.84 billion and 2.98 billion, respectively, with a new revenue forecast for 2027 set at 3.15 billion [6] - The adjusted net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been revised down to 373 million and 396 million, respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 at 423 million [6] Valuation Metrics - The projected price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 14.24, 13.44, and 12.56, respectively [8] - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.17, 0.18, and 0.19, respectively [8]
粉笔（02469）：AI赋能有助于应对价格战