Shanghai Pharma(601607) 平安证券·2025-03-31 12:43Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for Shanghai Pharmaceuticals [1][8][10] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 275.25 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 5.75%, and a net profit of 4.55 billion yuan, up 20.82% year-on-year [4][7] - The CSO business showed remarkable performance with a revenue increase of 177% to 8 billion yuan in 2024, highlighting its potential as a significant growth driver [7][8] - The pharmaceutical commercial segment is stable, with a projected revenue of 251.5 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a growth of 7.5% [7] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 297.93 billion yuan, 322.69 billion yuan, and 349.44 billion yuan, respectively, with expected growth rates of 8.2% and 8.3% [6][8] - Net profit forecasts for the same years are 5.42 billion yuan, 6.18 billion yuan, and 6.62 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 19.1%, 13.9%, and 7.2% [6][8] - The gross margin is expected to stabilize around 11% from 2025 onwards, while the net margin is projected to improve gradually [6][8] Business Segment Performance - The pharmaceutical industrial segment is expected to generate 30.5 billion yuan in revenue in 2024, with a growth rate of 29.7%, driven by innovative drugs and traditional Chinese medicine [7] - The company has established over 300 SPD projects, serving 129 medical institutions, enhancing its distribution network across the country [7] - The company’s strong state-owned background and comprehensive industry chain layout are expected to support its future growth [7][8]