Midea Group(000333) 开源证券·2025-04-01 02:23Investment Rating - The investment rating for Midea Group is maintained as "Buy" [6][43]. Core Views - Midea Group achieved a revenue of 407.15 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 9.4%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 38.54 billion yuan, up 14.3% [6][13]. - The company announced a dividend payout ratio of 69.3%, exceeding expectations, and plans to implement a share repurchase program of 5 to 10 billion yuan along with a 1.33 billion yuan employee stock ownership plan [6][13]. - The growth in C-end business and steady improvement in profitability led to upward revisions in profit forecasts for 2025-2026, with new projections for 2027 [6][43]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - In 2024, Midea Group's revenue reached 407.15 billion yuan, with a net profit of 38.54 billion yuan, and a non-recurring net profit of 35.74 billion yuan [6][13]. - For Q4 2024, the company reported revenue of 88.17 billion yuan and a net profit of 6.84 billion yuan [6][13]. Business Segments - The smart home segment generated revenue of 269.53 billion yuan, growing by 9.41%, while the commercial and industrial solutions segment brought in 104.50 billion yuan, up 6.87% [7][21]. - Revenue from new energy and industrial technology increased by 20.58%, while the robotics and automation segment saw a decline of 7.58% [7][21]. Geographic and Channel Performance - Domestic revenue was 238.1 billion yuan, up 7.7%, while overseas revenue reached 169 billion yuan, growing by 12.0% [7][23]. - Online sales accounted for 21.03% of total revenue, with a growth of 10.72%, while offline sales made up 78.97% [7][23]. Profitability Metrics - The gross margin for 2024 was 26.4%, with a Q4 gross margin of 25.2% [8][27]. - The net profit margin for 2024 was 9.5%, with a Q4 net profit margin of 7.5% [8][36]. Cash Flow and Efficiency - Operating cash flow for 2024 was 60.51 billion yuan, reflecting a 4.5% increase [37][42]. - Inventory turnover days increased to 71 days, while accounts receivable turnover days were 35.8 days [37][42]. Earnings Forecast - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is set at 42.93 billion, 46.98 billion, and 51.00 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 5.60, 6.13, and 6.66 yuan [6][43].