AVIC SAC(600760) 东吴证券·2025-04-01 07:35Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 42.837 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 7.37%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.394 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 12.86% [2] - The revenue decline was primarily due to fluctuations in military procurement cycles and delays in order deliveries, but the net profit growth was driven by improved gross margins and reduced expense ratios [2][3] - The company made significant technological advancements in the aerospace defense sector, including breakthroughs in lightweight design and domestic upgrades of avionics systems [3] - The implementation of a second phase of the stock incentive plan aimed at binding high-end talent further supports the company's growth strategy [4] Financial Summary - The company's total revenue for 2023 was 46.248 billion yuan, with a projected revenue of 47.787 billion yuan for 2025, and 56.693 billion yuan for 2026, indicating a recovery trend [1][11] - The net profit forecast for 2025 and 2026 is 3.539 billion yuan and 4.383 billion yuan respectively, with an expected net profit of 5.051 billion yuan in 2027 [4] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is projected at 1.23 yuan, with a decreasing price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio forecasted from 34.33 in 2024 to 23.07 in 2027 [1][4]