Yunnan Aluminium (000807) 国海证券·2025-04-01 08:02Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights that the impairment impact on Q4 2024 performance is expected to recover in 2025, with a significant increase in revenue and net profit year-on-year [2][3] - The company achieved a revenue of 54.45 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 27.6%, and a net profit of 4.41 billion yuan, up 11.5% year-on-year [2] - The report indicates that the decline in Q4 2024 net profit was primarily due to a significant increase in alumina prices and a provision for impairment losses of 330 million yuan [6] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The forecast for 2025-2027 projects revenues of 57.73 billion yuan, 60.02 billion yuan, and 61.81 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding net profits of 7.51 billion yuan, 8.62 billion yuan, and 9.36 billion yuan [8][9] - The expected growth rates for revenue are 6%, 4%, and 3% for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, while net profit is expected to grow by 70%, 15%, and 9% in the same years [8][9] Production and Pricing Insights - The company reported an aluminum production of 2.9383 million tons in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 22.45%, while alumina production decreased by 1.37% [6] - The average price of alumina increased significantly in Q4 2024, impacting the company's performance despite rising aluminum prices [6] Dividend Information - The company plans to distribute a final dividend of 0.18 yuan per share, leading to a total cash dividend of 0.41 yuan per share for the year, with a total payout of 1.422 billion yuan, resulting in a dividend payout ratio of 32.2% [6]