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固生堂(02273):固生堂2024年收入快速增长,关注海外收并购进展及AI应用的推出

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company, with a target price of HK67.35,indicatinganexpectedupsidefromthecurrentpriceofHK67.35, indicating an expected upside from the current price of HK33.25 [2][5]. Core Insights - The company achieved rapid revenue growth in 2024, with revenue reaching RMB 3.02 billion, a year-on-year increase of 30.1%. The net profit was RMB 310 million, reflecting a 21.4% increase, while the adjusted net profit was RMB 400 million, up 31.4% [3][10]. - The company is focusing on overseas expansion through mergers and acquisitions, particularly in regions with significant Chinese populations, such as Singapore, Hong Kong, Malaysia, and Indonesia [4][11]. - The integration of AI technology is expected to enhance operational efficiency and service quality, with plans to launch applications like "Famous Doctor Avatar" and "Health Assistant" in 2025 [12][13]. Financial Performance - Revenue projections for 2025 and 2026 are RMB 3.79 billion and RMB 4.63 billion, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 25.3% and 22.2% [5][13]. - The adjusted net profit for 2025 and 2026 is expected to be RMB 480 million and RMB 580 million, with growth rates of 20.6% and 21.0% [5][13]. - The gross profit margin is projected to remain stable at 30.1% over the forecast period [5][13]. Operational Expansion - By the end of 2024, the company operated 79 stores across 20 cities in China and Singapore, with a total of 21 new institutions added during the year [4][11]. - The average selling price (ASP) increased by 3.4% to RMB 559, while the number of patient visits rose by 25.9% to 5.41 million [4][11]. Management and Strategy - The company has developed a standardized operational model that supports its rapid expansion and enhances brand recognition [4][11]. - The management team is leveraging a large dataset of high-quality diagnostic information to develop AI applications, which is expected to replicate high-quality physician resources and improve service delivery [12][13].