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博瑞医药(688166):2024年报点评:业绩稳健,BGM0504推进III期

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5][3] Core Views - The company has shown steady revenue growth, with a reported revenue of 1.283 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting an 8.74% year-on-year increase. However, the net profit attributable to the parent company decreased by 6.57% to 189 million yuan due to increased expenses [11] - The company is advancing its BGM0504 project into Phase III clinical trials, with promising results in Phase II for both glycemic control and weight loss [11] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from 1.283 billion yuan in 2024 to 1.960 billion yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 8.7%, 23.2%, 12.2%, and 10.6% respectively [9] - The gross margin is expected to improve from 57.5% in 2024 to 59.8% in 2027, indicating a positive trend in profitability [9] - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast for 2025-2027 is 0.61 yuan, 0.71 yuan, and 0.81 yuan respectively, up from the previous estimate of 0.58 yuan for 2025 [3][9] Market Comparison - The target price for the company is set at 37.21 yuan based on a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 61 times for 2025, which is derived from comparable companies [3][12] - The company's current stock price is 36.05 yuan, with a 52-week high of 43.67 yuan and a low of 22.82 yuan [5]