Avary Holding(002938) 华安证券·2025-04-11 08:56Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting it to outperform the market benchmark by 5% to 15% over the next 6-12 months [8]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 35.14 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 9.6%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.62 billion yuan, up 10.1% year-on-year [5][10]. - The report highlights the company's strategic positioning in the AI wave, leveraging its technology, customer relationships, and production capacity to capture opportunities in the consumer electronics market [5][6]. - The global economic recovery and domestic policies are expected to drive demand for smartphones and consumer electronics, supporting the company's short-term performance [5]. Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company reported a revenue of 11.65 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.4% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 12.5% [5]. - The gross margin for Q4 2024 was 21.4%, showing a slight decline compared to previous periods, while total expenses decreased significantly due to positive financial income [5]. - The company forecasts net profits of 4.19 billion yuan, 4.62 billion yuan, and 5.00 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.81 yuan, 1.99 yuan, and 2.16 yuan [8][10]. Market Outlook - The report cites Canalys' prediction that AI smartphone shipments will account for 16% of total smartphone shipments in 2024, increasing to 54% by 2028, with a compound annual growth rate of 63% [6]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the upgrade of 800G/1.6T optical modules and aims to expand its SLP product offerings in the AI sector [7].