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名创优品(09896):全球化布局稳步推进,重视公司IP渠道承接力
09896MNSO(09896) 华源证券·2025-04-11 12:05

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company is steadily advancing its global layout and emphasizes its IP channel's capacity to capture demand [5] - The company achieved significant revenue growth in 2024, with a total revenue of 16.994 billion RMB, representing a year-on-year increase of 22.8% [7] - The company completed its annual store opening target, with a total of 7,780 stores by the end of 2024, including 6,504 Miniso stores [7] - The overseas store expansion is notable, with 631 new stores opened abroad, accounting for 58% of total new openings [7] - The company's gross margin reached a historical high of 44.9% in 2024, up 3.7 percentage points year-on-year, driven by an increase in overseas direct sales [7] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 11,473.21 million RMB - 2024: 16,994.03 million RMB - 2025E: 20,851.52 million RMB - 2026E: 24,818.06 million RMB - 2027E: 29,259.03 million RMB - The expected year-on-year growth rates for revenue are 13.76% in 2023, 48.12% in 2024, and 22.70% in 2025 [6] - The adjusted net profit for 2025 is projected to be 3,123.30 million RMB, with a year-on-year growth rate of 19.3% [6] - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to increase from 1.42 RMB in 2023 to 2.50 RMB in 2025 [6] Store Expansion and Product Strategy - The company has successfully launched new products under the WAKUKU brand, with a recent release selling out within two hours, indicating strong consumer interest [7] - The TOPTOY brand has also seen rapid overseas expansion, achieving a revenue of 984 million RMB in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 44.7% [7] - The company is focusing on adjusting its revenue structure and IP product mix to enhance gross margin performance [7]