GEELY AUTO(00175) 长江证券·2025-04-13 23:30Investment Rating - The investment rating for Geely Automobile is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - Geely Automobile's Q1 2025 performance is expected to exceed expectations, driven by strong sales in the new energy vehicle segment, with projected net profit before accounting policy changes estimated at 11.6-12.3 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 640%-690% [2][4]. - The company is entering a new product era supported by the GEA architecture, with positive developments across its brands including Zeekr, Lynk & Co, and Galaxy [2][8]. - The transition to new energy is progressing smoothly, with scale effects expected to enhance profitability, while the solid foundation of fuel vehicles and innovative overseas expansion strategies are opening new markets [8]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Geely is expected to achieve sales of 704,000 vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 47.9% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2.5%, marking a historical quarterly high [8]. - The projected net profit after accounting policy changes is estimated at 5.2-5.8 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 220%-270% [4][8]. - The single vehicle profit is expected to be between 0.74-0.82 million yuan, showing significant improvement [8]. Product Strategy - Geely plans to launch 10 new energy models in 2025, with various new and updated models across its brands [8]. - The company is focusing on both electrification and intelligence, with a significant increase in the adoption of intelligent driving capabilities [8]. Market Position - The new energy transition is accelerating profitability, with structural optimization and scale effects further enhancing profit margins [8]. - Geely's strong new vehicle cycle is expected to provide substantial profit elasticity, with a projected net profit of 16.1 billion yuan for 2025, corresponding to a PE ratio of 8.7X [8].