国泰海通晨报-20250415

Key Recommendations - Tactical asset allocation views have been adjusted, downgrading US Treasury bonds to benchmark and US dollar to underweight, while maintaining an overweight position in gold [1][2] - Chip manufacturer Chipbond is expected to benefit significantly from the adoption of advanced CoWoS-L packaging solutions for high-performance GPUs, requiring more LDI direct-write lithography technology [1][6] - The demand for domestic AI computing chips is anticipated to accelerate due to improvements in hardware performance and software architecture iterations [1][8] - Jinbo Biotech's major product, Wei Yimei, is still in a rapid growth phase, and the commercialization of new gel products is expected to contribute to performance growth [1][11] - The home appliance sector is expected to benefit from the successful implementation of the old-for-new policy in 2024, with continued policy support in 2025 [1][14] - The coal industry is projected to see a price rebound in April, coinciding with the summer peak demand in June, leading to a preference for more certain dividend assets amid increased market volatility [1][17] Company-Specific Insights - Chipbond maintains an "overweight" rating with a target price of 116.55 CNY, despite lowering EPS forecasts for 2024-2026 due to overseas progress falling short of expectations [5][6] - The company is positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for LDI direct-write lithography equipment as domestic CSP manufacturers ramp up capital expenditures [6] - Jinbo Biotech's new gel product, which is the first injectable recombinant type III humanized collagen gel approved, is expected to enhance its market presence and growth potential [11][12] Industry Trends - The electronic components industry is witnessing a surge in demand for domestic AI computing infrastructure, driven by the release of new products like the CloudMatrix 384 super node [8][9] - The home appliance sector is experiencing a positive trend in retail sales, with a year-on-year increase of 11.7% in February 2025, indicating a recovery in consumer demand [15] - The coal industry is approaching a fundamental turning point, with expectations of price stabilization and potential increases due to supply and demand dynamics [17][19]